NOAA Delays La Niña Onset to Late 2024

NOAA has updated its forecast for La Niña, delaying its predicted onset to Fall or Winter 2024/2025. The likelihood of La Niña forming has slightly decreased but remains significant, with a 66% chance between September-October and a 74% chance between November-January. This delay means the current ENSO-neutral conditions will persist, potentially leading to an extended active hurricane season. La Niña typically causes wetter, colder winters in the Pacific Northwest and warmer, drier winters in the Southwest. The delay offers temporary relief for Gulf and East Coast states, which face increased hurricane activity during La Niña years.