Recent polling data presents a mixed picture of the 2024 U.S. presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. A Noble Predictive Insights poll shows Trump holding a narrow 3-point lead over Harris in Arizona, while several national polls indicate Harris leads Trump by 4 points or more, with notable support from women, Black, Hispanic, and college-educated white voters. Harris has also made significant gains among independent voters since the Democratic National Convention. However, Trump remains strong among white voters without a college degree and scores higher on issues like immigration and inflation. The race remains tightly contested, especially in key swing states.