Kamala Harris' chances

Since President Biden's withdrawal from the race, Vice President Kamala Harris has gained significant support in various polls, leading Donald Trump in key battleground states, including Pennsylvania. Polls indicate heightened enthusiasm for Harris, with her lead ranging between 1 to 5 points nationally and in 17 of the 18 most recent surveys. However, Trump's stronghold remains in rural areas, and there are concerns about declining voter turnout in Philadelphia, which could jeopardize Democratic efforts in Pennsylvania. Despite these challenges, Harris's nomination is set to become official at the Democratic National Convention, with her supporters expressing greater satisfaction compared to Biden's candidacy. A recent poll showed Harris leading Trump by four points in Pennsylvania, bolstering Democratic confidence as she embarks on a battleground tour with her running mate, Tim Walz. The impact of voter turnout, particularly in urban areas, will be critical as both candidates vie for the undecided voters in the approaching election.